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Transforming the European energy system : member prospects within the EU framework

Abstract

The Energy Modeling Forum 28 (EMF28) performed a large-scale model comparison exercise to illustrate different technology pathways for cutting European greenhouse gas emissions by 80% by 2050. Focusing on selected countries (France, Germany, Italy, Sweden, and UK), this paper first analyzes climate and energy policy objectives and debates in the respective countries. It then compares EMF28 model results to the short-term projections of the National Renewable Energy Action Plans (NREAPs) and the long-term transformation pathway given in the European Commission's "Energy Roadmap 2050". It concludes that there is sufficient agreement with the NREAPs and national policies to accept the model results as conceivable scenarios. The scenarios suggest that in the future a variety of different national energy mixes will continue to reflect the different resource bases and preferences of individual Member States. In order to ensure a cost-efficient transformation, it is important to improve coordination between Member State policies and those at the EU level.


Category

Academic article

Language

English

Author(s)

  • Brigitte Knopf
  • Bjørn Harald Bakken
  • Samuel Carrara
  • Amit Kanudia
  • Ilkka Keppo
  • Tiina Koljonen
  • Silvana Mima
  • Eva Schmid
  • Detlef P. van Vuuren

Affiliation

  • Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research
  • SINTEF Energy Research / Energisystemer
  • Unknown
  • VTT Technical Research Centre of Finland
  • Utrecht University

Year

2013

Published in

Climate Change Economics

ISSN

2010-0078

Volume

4

Issue

1

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