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Improvements to Numerical Modelling of Plastic Pollution in the Marine Environment

Abstract

Marine plastic pollution is a serious problem, affecting life both in and out of the oceans. To plan and implement successful mitigation efforts, it is essential to have a complete understanding of the envir onmental impacts of this pollution. This includes knowledge about the distribution of plastic in the marine environment, such as cir culation patterns, accumulation hotspots, and transport pathways from source to sink. Transport modelling can be a very valuable tool in this context. This thesis consists of three scientific publications that all address ways that Lagrangian modelling of marine plastic pollution can be improved. The first paper discusses how using modelled hydrodynamic data introduces discontinuities in the velocity field of the transport equa tion, and how these discontinuities can have a negative effect on the expected accuracy of numerical integration. We introduce a scheme that can be applied to handle the discontinuities in the velocity field during integration, and demonstrate that this can improve accuracy by several orders of magnitude. This is of particular importance in backtracking applications, which are commonly used in attempts to identify sources of observed marine pollution. The final two papers in this thesis address a component of the dy namics of the transport of plastic litter in the marine environment that is often overlooked in simulations. It is well-known by now that beaches are not always permanent sinks for marine litter, but in models, they are still often treated as such. Based on an extensive review of literature from field studies on beached plastic litter, as well as a set of simple laboratory experiments, we have developed a new model for beaching and resuspension of floating objects. The model is based on the assumption that waves are instrumental in facilitating transport of objects between land and water, and has a probability parameter that can be used to fit the model to observa tions. In the first of these two papers, our new wave-based model is presen ted as a stand-alone one-dimensional model, and we present and discuss its properties and implementation in detail. In the second paper, we integrate the model with a large-scale Lagrangian trans port model for the first time. We perform a case-study where we compare simulations using this model to simulations using a simpler model for resuspension that is based on expected residence time of litter on the beach. We find that the wave-based model can capture variations in beaching and resuspension dynamics on shorter times cales, which can influence the overall transport. More studies are needed to determine whether the new wave-based model is better, but regardless, we believe that it is a good starting point for further model development.

Category

Doctoral thesis

Language

English

Author(s)

Affiliation

  • SINTEF Ocean / Climate and Environment
  • University of Bergen
  • Norwegian University of Science and Technology
  • Norwegian Meteorological Institute (MET Norway)

Year

2026

Publisher

Norges teknisk-naturvitenskapelige universitet

Issue

2026:99

ISBN

9788232697991

View this publication at Norwegian Research Information Repository