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Scenario quantification for the power sector in Europe and Norway until 2050

Abstract

In order to quantify a set of scenarios for the European and Norwegian energy system, a set of two linked models is applied. These comprise a global assessment model and an
expansion model for the European power system. This setup of linked model allows to apply global framework developments in more specific sector models on a regional basis.
For the assessment of defined energy scenarios, global shared socioeconomic pathways are simulated in the global assessment models. Analysis results are then to provide a
framework for cases, which are assessed in a power system expansion model, to achieve more detailed insight to the development European and Norwegian power system in the
light of a necessary transition to a low emission society.
Results show that global development pathways have a significant impact on the European energy sector. Furthermore, a faster technology development allows for a postponing of emission reduction but relies on the availability of negative emission technologies in the
second half of our century.
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Category

Report

Language

English

Affiliation

  • SINTEF Energy Research / Energisystemer

Year

2019

Publisher

SINTEF Energi AS

Issue

2019:00524

ISBN

978-82-14-06351-6

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