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Estimation of Long-term Power Demand of Oil and Gas Installations using Hybrid Models

Abstract

A methodology to forecast power demand of oil and gas installations which uses publicly production available data, parametric models and data-driven Gaussian regression methods is presented. The methodology also captures the expected fuel gas consumption and energy ratio. The proposed methodology is tested on the Brage field on the Norwegian Continental Shelf. It is shown that the general oil and water production behaviour as well as fuel gas consumption trends can be predicted. However, the forecast inherits a significant uncertainty due to the publicly available dataset lacking metadata and a complete description of the energy sinks. © 2024 Elsevier B.V. Author keywords Forecast; Gaussian Process Regression; Oil and Gas; Power demand
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Category

Academic article

Language

English

Affiliation

  • SINTEF Industry / Process Technology
  • SINTEF Energy Research / Gassteknologi

Year

2024

Published in

Computer-aided chemical engineering

ISSN

1570-7946

Volume

53

Page(s)

2935 - 2940

View this publication at Norwegian Research Information Repository