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Scenario generation by selection from historical data

Abstract

In this paper, we present and compare several methods for generating scenarios for stochastic-programming models by direct selection from historical data. The methods rangefromstandardsamplingandk-means,throughiterativesampling-basedselection methods, to a new moment-based optimization approach. We compare the models on a simple portfolio-optimization model and show how to use them in a situation when we are selecting whole sequences from the data, instead of single data points.
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Category

Academic article

Language

English

Author(s)

Affiliation

  • SINTEF Industry / Sustainable Energy Technology

Year

2021

Published in

Computational Management Science

ISSN

1619-697X

Volume

18

Page(s)

411 - 429

View this publication at Norwegian Research Information Repository