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Optimisation of hydropower operation in a liberalised market with focus on price modelling

Abstract

This paper describes the structure and identification of a price model that is used in stochastic optimization of hydro operation and flexible contracts. The price model must be simple in order to be applicable in a stochastic optimization framework and the model should incorporate as much of the statistics of the price process as possible. Modelling of extremes is an important factor for the simulation capabilities of the optimisation models. The paper shows examples of simulated optimal operation of hydropower plants with the new price model. The paper also shows how the price model is used in a model that integrates hydro operation and financial hedging. In the forward market, prices of contracts with delivery several years ahead vary from one week to the next. In order to model this long-term uncertainty we have amended our spot price model.

Category

Academic chapter

Language

English

Author(s)

  • Birger Mo
  • Anders Gjelsvik
  • Asbjørn Grundt
  • Kjetil Kåresen

Affiliation

  • SINTEF Energy Research / Energisystemer

Year

2001

Publisher

IEEE (Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers)

Book

2001 IEEE Porto Power Tech Proceedings - PowerTech 2001

ISBN

9780780371392

View this publication at Norwegian Research Information Repository