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Multiphysics Bayesian rock physics inversion for CO 2 storage monitoring

Abstract

Carbon capture and storage is acknowledged as one of the key technologies in the energy system transition towards low greenhouse gas emissions while simultaneously meeting the demand for energy supply. Large-scale and safe CO 2 storage requires monitoring plans to address operational and regulatory requirements as well as public acceptance. We aim at quantifying the impact of various combinations of geophysical inputs to the accurate quantification of static and dynamic reservoir parameters in CO 2 storage sites. We use geophysical attributes as input data for multiphysics Bayesian rock physics inversion. We quantify the contribution of P- and S-wave velocity, density, and resistivity measurements to estimate CO 2 saturation, pore pressure, elastic rock properties, porosity, and a parameter related to the fluid distribution at the pore scale (patchiness). By considering case studies representative of Sleipner, Snøhvit and Smeaheia storage sites, we demonstrate that a well-constrained and low-uncertainty estimation of CO 2 saturation requires the use of resistivity input data. Accurate pore pressure estimation is difficult and has to take advantage of all possible input data and, if available, prior information to be able to be discriminated from saturation effects. The patchiness parameter cannot be accurately recovered regardless of data inputs considered in this study but it does not prevent a proper estimation of CO 2 saturation. Porosity estimation requires density data while rock frame mechanical moduli estimation requires S-wave velocity information. Use of prior information is always beneficial to better constrain the estimates. Quantifying the dynamic reservoir parameters with uncertainty estimation is crucial for conformance monitoring where observed and modeled behaviors of the CO 2 injection and migration in the reservoir need to be verified by the operator.

Category

Academic article

Language

English

Affiliation

  • SINTEF Industry / Applied Geoscience

Date

26.10.2025

Year

2025

Published in

Geophysics

ISSN

0016-8033

Page(s)

108 - 108

View this publication at Norwegian Research Information Repository