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Stochastic Process Mining: Characteristics and Challenges

Abstract

Process mining aims to obtain insights from event logs through the automated analyses of recorded process data in information systems, with the ultimate aim to improve business processes running in organisations. However, real-life event logs are often incomplete, noisy, or ambiguous, such as missing timestamps or having ambiguous event labels, which traditional deterministic models cannot capture. Recent process mining developments have considered uncertainty in process mining artifacts more explicitly: in logs of recorded process behaviour, uncertainty may implicitly or explicitly influence process mining outcomes, while in process models, explicit uncertainty allows analysts to interpret and value outcomes. In this paper, we provide a conceptual foundation for uncertainty in process mining by introducing a four-level specification that separately addresses uncertainty in log attributes (e.g., activity labels of events, frequencies) and model elements (e.g., service times, read guards). For each type of uncertainty, we illustrate the levels with concrete examples to help understanding and application. We then provide a structured overview of the state of the art in stochastic process mining, classified using our specification, and present key open research challenges.

Category

Academic article

Language

English

Author(s)

  • Sander J.J. Leemans
  • Xixi Lu
  • David Chapela-Campa
  • Claudio Di Ciccio
  • Izack Cohen
  • Benoit Depaire
  • Stephan Fahrenkrog-Petersen
  • Avigdor Gal
  • Massimiliano De Leoni
  • Henrik Leopold
  • Orlenys Lopez-Pintado
  • Felix Mannhardt
  • Fabrizio Maria Maggi
  • Niels Martin
  • Marco Montali
  • Marco Pegoraro
  • Artem Polyvyanyy
  • Arik Senderovich
  • Sam Verboven
  • Akio Watanabe
  • Matthias Weidlich
  • Jan Martijn E.M. Van Der Werf

Affiliation

  • SINTEF Digital / Technology Management
  • Hasselt University
  • Vrije Universiteit Brussel
  • University of Tartu
  • Free University of Bozen-Bolzano
  • University of Padua
  • Utrecht University
  • University of Liechtenstein
  • Germany
  • RWTH Aachen University
  • Kühne Logistics University
  • Bar-Ilan University
  • Technion - Israel Institute of Technology
  • Nippon Telegraph and Telephone Corporation
  • York University
  • University of Melbourne

Date

20.07.2026

Year

2026

Published in

IEEE Transactions on Knowledge and Data Engineering

ISSN

1041-4347

Volume

38

Issue

10

Page(s)

7061 - 7079

View this publication at Norwegian Research Information Repository