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Evaluation of scenario generation methods for stochastic programming

Abstract

Stochastic programs can only be solved with discrete distributions of limited cardinality. Input, however, normally comes in the form of continuous distributions or large data sets. Creating a limited discrete distribution from input is called scenario generation. In this paper, we discuss how to evaluate the quality or suitability of scenario generation methods for a given stochastic programming model. We formulate minimal requirements that should be imposed on a scenario generation method before it can be used for solving the stochastic programming model. We also show how the requirements can be tested. The procedures for testing a scenario generation method is illustrated on a case from portfolio management.

Category

Academic article

Language

English

Author(s)

Affiliation

  • Molde University College - Specialized University in Logistics

Year

2007

Published in

Pacific Journal of Optimization

ISSN

1348-9151

Publisher

Yokohama Publishers

Volume

3

Issue

2

Page(s)

257 - 271

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